LOW🎯 Contrarian ConvictionID-1041
Contrarian bet: $600 against 10% consensus
|Mar 11|Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Severity Score
1.0–3.9
Detection Type
🎯
Contrarian Conviction
Trade Value
$600
flagged amount
Wallet
0x8fba...433a
Immaculate-Path
LOW Severity — Score 1.0–3.9
Weak signal. May be normal trading activity. Logged for pattern analysis.
Analysis
Wallet "Immaculate-Path" placed $600 BUY on "Yes" in "Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?" at avg 23.6¢ while market consensus is 10% against. Position is 0.9% of liquidity. Strong conviction against the crowd may indicate insider knowledge.
Alert Context
Market
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Volume
$5.0M
Liquidity
$67.9K
Wallet
“Immaculate-Path”
0x8fba3aa991dc7df44f8a3b20a178e1781b7d433a
Detection Data
Side
BUY
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Outcome
Yes
Total Value
$600
Trade Count
1
Avg Entry Price
0.24
Market Liquidity
$64.0K
Current Consensus
0.1
Pattern confidence
0.7
Position Vs Liquidity
$0
About This Detection Type
🎯
Contrarian Conviction
A large bet was placed against the market consensus with high conviction, potentially indicating private information.