HIGH Pre-Resolution TradingID-0156

Large position 5h before resolution

|Mar 7|Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
Severity Score
7.0–8.9
Detection Type
Pre-Resolution Trading
Trade Value
$505
flagged amount
Wallet
0xe4f8...b2cc
Granular-Pickaxe
HIGH Severity — Score 7.0–8.9

Strong indicators of suspicious behavior. Further investigation warranted.

Analysis

Wallet "Granular-Pickaxe" took a $505 SELL position on "No" in "Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?" — 5 hours before market closes. Position is 4.7% of market liquidity.

Alert Context

Market

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Volume
$412.9K
Liquidity
$561.6K

Wallet

Granular-Pickaxe

0xe4f8b2bff41725bc4a61e0eda092a29f3376b2cc

Detection Data

Side
SELL
Outcome
No
Liquidity
$10.6K
Total Size
514.13
Total Value
$505
Trade Count
1
Position Ratio
0.05x
Hours Before Close
5.0h

About This Detection Type

Pre-Resolution Trading

A large position was opened shortly before market resolution, suggesting the trader may have had advance knowledge of the outcome. This is one of the strongest signals of insider trading on prediction markets.

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