HIGH🎯 Contrarian ConvictionID-0285
Contrarian bet: $1855 against 19% consensus
|Mar 7|Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?
Severity Score
7.0–8.9
Detection Type
🎯
Contrarian Conviction
Trade Value
$1.9K
flagged amount
Wallet
0x204f...5e14
Frail-Possible
HIGH Severity — Score 7.0–8.9
Strong indicators of suspicious behavior. Further investigation warranted.
Analysis
Wallet "Frail-Possible" placed $1855 BUY on "No" in "Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?" at avg 37.0¢ while market consensus is 19% against. Position is 7.1% of liquidity. Strong conviction against the crowd may indicate insider knowledge.
Alert Context
Market
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?
Volume
$441.7K
Liquidity
$857.1K
Wallet
“Frail-Possible”
0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14
Detection Data
Side
BUY
End Date
Mar 7, 2026
Outcome
No
Total Value
$1.9K
Trade Count
2
Avg Entry Price
0.37
Filtered reason
below_80_threshold
Market Liquidity
$26.3K
Current Consensus
0.19
Pattern confidence
0.86
Position Vs Liquidity
$0
About This Detection Type
🎯
Contrarian Conviction
A large bet was placed against the market consensus with high conviction, potentially indicating private information.
Related Alerts
View all →MEDIUM🎯 Contrarian Conviction
Contrarian bet: $1855 against 0% consensus
Mar 13Same market
MEDIUM🎯 Contrarian Conviction
Contrarian bet: $1855 against 0% consensus
Mar 12Same market
MEDIUM🎯 Contrarian Conviction
Contrarian bet: $1855 against 0% consensus
Mar 11Same market
HIGH🕐 Timing Anomaly
Unusual timing: 100% off-hours activity
Jul 18Same wallet
HIGH🕐 Timing Anomaly
Unusual timing: 100% off-hours activity
Jul 17Same wallet
HIGH🕐 Timing Anomaly
Unusual timing: 100% off-hours activity
Jul 16Same wallet