MEDIUM🎯 Contrarian ConvictionID-0389
Contrarian bet: $1114 against 28% consensus
|Mar 7|Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?
Severity Score
4.0–6.9
Detection Type
🎯
Contrarian Conviction
Trade Value
$1.1K
flagged amount
Wallet
0x204f...5e14
Frail-Possible
MEDIUM Severity — Score 4.0–6.9
Moderate signals detected. Pattern may indicate informed trading.
Analysis
Wallet "Frail-Possible" placed $1114 BUY on "Yes" in "Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?" at avg 57.0¢ while market consensus is 28% against. Position is 2.7% of liquidity. Strong conviction against the crowd may indicate insider knowledge.
Alert Context
Market
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?
Volume
$612.2K
Liquidity
$935.3K
Wallet
“Frail-Possible”
0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14
Detection Data
Side
BUY
End Date
Mar 7, 2026
Outcome
Yes
Total Value
$1.1K
Trade Count
1
Avg Entry Price
0.57
Filtered reason
below_80_threshold
Market Liquidity
$40.8K
Current Consensus
0.28
Pattern confidence
0.7
Position Vs Liquidity
$0
About This Detection Type
🎯
Contrarian Conviction
A large bet was placed against the market consensus with high conviction, potentially indicating private information.
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