HIGH Pre-Resolution TradingID-4457

Large position 3h before resolution

|May 14|US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Severity Score
7.0–8.9
Detection Type
Pre-Resolution Trading
Trade Value
$1.5K
flagged amount
Wallet
0xd60e...644d
Sympathetic-Canoe
HIGH Severity — Score 7.0–8.9

Strong indicators of suspicious behavior. Further investigation warranted.

Analysis

Wallet "Sympathetic-Canoe" took a $1542 BUY position on "No" in "US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?" — 3 hours before market closes. Position is 0.3% of market liquidity.

Alert Context

Market

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Volume
$18.4M
Liquidity
$793.4K

Wallet

Sympathetic-Canoe

0xd60efca7f0c8a4ee751de2dbb3609e820f69644d

Detection Data

Side
BUY
Outcome
No
Liquidity
$472.8K
Total Size
1,550
Total Value
$1.5K
Trade Count
1
Position Ratio
0.00x
Hours Before Close
3.0h

About This Detection Type

Pre-Resolution Trading

A large position was opened shortly before market resolution, suggesting the trader may have had advance knowledge of the outcome. This is one of the strongest signals of insider trading on prediction markets.

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