HIGH Pre-Resolution TradingID-4559

Large position 11h before resolution

|May 15|Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Severity Score
7.0–8.9
Detection Type
Pre-Resolution Trading
Trade Value
$389
flagged amount
Wallet
0x28c0...d319
Rash-Draw
HIGH Severity — Score 7.0–8.9

Strong indicators of suspicious behavior. Further investigation warranted.

Analysis

Wallet "Rash-Draw" took a $389 BUY position on "Yes" in "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?" — 11 hours before market closes. Position is 2.4% of market liquidity.

Alert Context

Market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$365.3K

Wallet

Rash-Draw

0x28c0ba51ca879fb5a5446796af0060589493d319

Detection Data

Side
BUY
Outcome
Yes
Liquidity
$16.0K
Total Size
701.59
Total Value
$389
Trade Count
1
Position Ratio
0.02x
Hours Before Close
11.4h

About This Detection Type

Pre-Resolution Trading

A large position was opened shortly before market resolution, suggesting the trader may have had advance knowledge of the outcome. This is one of the strongest signals of insider trading on prediction markets.

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