LOW🎯 Contrarian ConvictionID-0871
Contrarian bet: $731 against 7% consensus
|Mar 10|US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Severity Score
1.0–3.9
Detection Type
🎯
Contrarian Conviction
Trade Value
$731
flagged amount
Wallet
0x1cc1...b8df
Foolish-Contrail
LOW Severity — Score 1.0–3.9
Weak signal. May be normal trading activity. Logged for pattern analysis.
Analysis
Wallet "Foolish-Contrail" placed $731 BUY on "Yes" in "US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?" at avg 9.0¢ while market consensus is 7% against. Position is 0.1% of liquidity. Strong conviction against the crowd may indicate insider knowledge.
Alert Context
Market
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Volume
$11.7M
Liquidity
$999.5K
Wallet
“Foolish-Contrail”
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df
Detection Data
Side
BUY
Outcome
Yes
Total Value
$731
Trade Count
1
Avg Entry Price
0.09
Market Liquidity
$490.5K
Current Consensus
0.07
Pattern confidence
0.68
Position Vs Liquidity
$0
About This Detection Type
🎯
Contrarian Conviction
A large bet was placed against the market consensus with high conviction, potentially indicating private information.