MEDIUM⏱ Pre-Resolution TradingID-4439
Large position 20h before resolution
|May 14|Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Severity Score
4.0–6.9
Detection Type
⏱
Pre-Resolution Trading
Trade Value
$493
flagged amount
Wallet
0x689a...779e
Standard-Verification
MEDIUM Severity — Score 4.0–6.9
Moderate signals detected. Pattern may indicate informed trading.
Analysis
Wallet "Standard-Verification" took a $493 BUY position on "Yes" in "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?" — 20 hours before market closes. Position is 3.4% of market liquidity.
Alert Context
Market
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$365.3K
Wallet
“Standard-Verification”
0x689ae12e11aa489adb3605afd8f39040ff52779e
Detection Data
Side
BUY
Outcome
Yes
Liquidity
$14.5K
Total Size
1,336.01
Total Value
$493
Trade Count
1
Position Ratio
0.03x
Filtered reason
below_80_threshold
Hours Before Close
20.2h
About This Detection Type
⏱
Pre-Resolution Trading
A large position was opened shortly before market resolution, suggesting the trader may have had advance knowledge of the outcome. This is one of the strongest signals of insider trading on prediction markets.
Related Alerts
View all →LOW⚡ Flash Position
Flash position: $915 in 5 min
May 16Same market
MEDIUM🎯 Contrarian Conviction
Contrarian bet: $1258 against 28% consensus
May 15Same market
HIGH⏱ Pre-Resolution Trading
Large position 11h before resolution
May 15Same market
MEDIUM🎯 Contrarian Conviction
Contrarian bet: $1089 against 0% consensus
May 21Same wallet
MEDIUM🎯 Contrarian Conviction
Contrarian bet: $1089 against 0% consensus
May 20Same wallet
MEDIUM🎯 Contrarian Conviction
Contrarian bet: $1089 against 0% consensus
May 19Same wallet